Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigres win with a probability of 72.33%. A draw had a probability of 16.9% and a win for Mazatlan had a probability of 10.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tigres win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.22%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.03%), while for a Mazatlan win it was 0-1 (3.42%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tigres would win this match.
0.4) 
-0.08) 
