Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Internacional win with a probability of 36.47%. A win for Corinthians had a probability of 35.2% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Internacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.72%) and 0-2 (6.77%). The likeliest Corinthians win was 1-0 (11.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
-0.17) 
0.09) 
