Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 41.52%. A draw had a probability of 29.3% and a win for Internacional had a probability of 29.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.34%) and 2-1 (7.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.29%), while for a Internacional win it was 0-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.
-0.79) 
0.2) 
