Neither side have been particularly sharp since advancing from the last 16 of this tournament, but all season long, Fortaleza have found a way to win at home, and that belief could go a long way to another triumph on Tuesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 51.84%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Corinthians had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.33%) and 2-1 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.17%), while for a Corinthians win it was 0-1 (8.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.

Result
Fortaleza	Draw	Corinthians
51.84% ( -2.42)	25.96% ( 0.8)	22.2% ( 1.63)

Both teams to score 46.08% (

-0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.24% (

-1.26)

56.75% (

1.26)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.3% (

-1.02)

77.7% (

1.02)

Fortaleza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.03% (

-1.52)

21.97% (

1.52)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.73% (

-2.36)

55.27% (

2.36)

Corinthians Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.05% (

0.96)

40.95% (

-0.96)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.49% (

0.85)

77.51% (

-0.85)

Score Analysis

Fortaleza 51.83%

Corinthians 22.2%

Draw 25.96%

Fortaleza	Draw	Corinthians
1-0 @ 13.63% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 10.33% ( -0.46) 2-1 @ 9.22% ( -0.16) 3-0 @ 5.22% ( -0.49) 3-1 @ 4.66% ( -0.31) 3-2 @ 2.08% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 1.98% ( -0.29) 4-1 @ 1.77% ( -0.21) Other @ 2.95% Total : 51.83%	1-1 @ 12.17% ( 0.34) 0-0 @ 9% ( 0.43) 2-2 @ 4.12% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.67% Total : 25.96%	0-1 @ 8.03% ( 0.58) 1-2 @ 5.44% ( 0.29) 0-2 @ 3.59% ( 0.35) 1-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.13) 2-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.13) Other @ 1.23% Total : 22.2%