Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cosenza Calcio win with a probability of 48.26%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 25.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cosenza Calcio win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.23%) and 2-0 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.32%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (8.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.
-0.18) 
0.06) 
