Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cremonese win with a probability of 63.72%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 14.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cremonese win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.24%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.15%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (5.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cremonese would win this match.
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