SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palermo win with a probability of 54.89%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 21.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palermo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.83%) and 2-0 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.01%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (6.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Palermo | Draw | Salernitana |
54.89% ( 0.45) | 23.24% ( -0.13) | 21.87% ( -0.32) |
| Both teams to score 53.71% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.56% ( 0.2) | 46.44% ( -0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.28% ( 0.19) | 68.72% ( -0.19) |
| Palermo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.21% ( 0.23) | 16.79% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.25% ( 0.41) | 46.76% ( -0.41) |
| Salernitana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.55% ( -0.19) | 35.45% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.78% ( -0.2) | 72.22% ( 0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Palermo | Draw | Salernitana |
| 1-0 @ 10.62% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.83% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 9.48% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 5.84% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 5.64% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 3.03% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.61% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 2.51% ( 0.06)4-2 @ 1.35% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 0.93% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.06% Total : 54.89% | 1-1 @ 11.01% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 5.95% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 5.1% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.24% | 0-1 @ 6.17% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 5.71% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 3.2% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.94% Total : 21.87% |
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