Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSM Iasi win with a probability of 40.58%. A win for UTA Arad had a probability of 31.95% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a CSM Iasi win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (7.53%). The likeliest UTA Arad win was 0-1 (10.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.