Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a UTA Arad win with a probability of 41.77%. A win for CSM Iasi had a probability of 31.27% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a UTA Arad win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest CSM Iasi win was 0-1 (9.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for UTA Arad in this match.
-0.28) 
0.09) 
