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Copa Sudamericana | Round of 32 | 2nd Leg
Jul 25, 2024 at 11pm UK
Arena Pantanal

Cuiaba
1 - 2
Palestino

Luis (78')
Mineiro (24'), Deyverson (45+2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Marabel (8'), Sosa (61')
Martinez (43'), Rojas (56'), Marabel (60'), Linares (78'), Carrasco (82'), Rigamonti (90+2')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cuiaba 0-1 Fluminense
Monday, July 22 at 12am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Palestino 1-1 Cuiaba
Thursday, July 18 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana

We said: Cuiaba 1-1 Palestino (Cuiaba advances on penalties)

Given what is at stake in this encounter, we expect the pressure may get the better of these two sides, who are unfamiliar with knockout football. While it could be a nervy affair on Wednesday, we expect the energy and belief that Cuiaba have built up in this tournament will eventually pay off. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cuiaba win with a probability of 53.78%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Palestino had a probability of 22.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cuiaba win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.73%) and 2-0 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.38%), while for a Palestino win it was 0-1 (6.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
CuiabaDrawPalestino
53.78% (-0.083999999999996 -0.08) 23.94% (0.039000000000001 0.04) 22.27% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Both teams to score 52.02% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.05% (-0.10899999999999 -0.11)48.94% (0.112 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.96% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)71.03% (0.101 0.1)
Cuiaba Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.88% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)18.12% (0.073999999999998 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.93% (-0.126 -0.13)49.06% (0.13 0.13)
Palestino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.53% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)36.47% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.74% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)73.25% (0.019000000000005 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Cuiaba 53.77%
    Palestino 22.27%
    Draw 23.94%
CuiabaDrawPalestino
1-0 @ 11.28% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.73% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.64% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
3-1 @ 5.54% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
3-0 @ 5.49% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.79% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.37% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.35% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.19% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 53.77%
1-1 @ 11.38% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.61% (0.03 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.91% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.94% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 23.94%
0-1 @ 6.66% (0.027 0.03)
1-2 @ 5.74% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.36% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.93% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.65% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 1.13% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 22.27%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Cuiaba 0-1 Fluminense
Monday, July 22 at 12am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Palestino 1-1 Cuiaba
Thursday, July 18 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Bahia 1-2 Cuiaba
Saturday, July 13 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Flamengo 1-1 Cuiaba
Sunday, July 7 at 12am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Cuiaba 1-2 Botafogo
Wednesday, July 3 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Cuiaba 1-1 Bragantino
Saturday, June 29 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Palestino 1-1 Cuiaba
Thursday, July 18 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Bolivar 3-1 Palestino
Wednesday, May 29 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Millonarios 1-1 Palestino
Wednesday, May 15 at 3am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Palestino 1-0 Flamengo
Wednesday, May 8 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Palestino 3-1 Millonarios
Friday, April 26 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Flamengo 2-0 Palestino
Thursday, April 11 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores


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