Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Deportivo Garcilaso win with a probability of 40.61%. A win for Cuiaba had a probability of 32.81% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Deportivo Garcilaso win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Cuiaba win was 0-1 (9.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.
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