Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 72.91%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Palestino had a probability of 9.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.1%) and 3-0 (10.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.22%), while for a Palestino win it was 0-1 (3.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Flamengo in this match.
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