Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 84.61%. A draw had a probability of 9.6% and a win for Sparta Nijkerk had a probability of 5.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 3-0 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.91%) and 4-0 (7.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.89%), while for a Sparta Nijkerk win it was 1-2 (1.77%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that De Graafschap would win this match.
-0.49) 
0.25) 
