SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Emmen win with a probability of 57.19%. A win for De Graafschap had a probability of 21.8% and a draw had a probability of 21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Emmen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.06%) and 1-0 (7.78%). The likeliest De Graafschap win was 1-2 (5.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Emmen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Emmen | Draw | De Graafschap |
57.19% ( -0.07) | 21.01% ( 0.04) | 21.8% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 61.34% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.68% ( -0.11) | 36.32% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.56% ( -0.12) | 58.44% ( 0.13) |
| Emmen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.4% ( -0.05) | 12.6% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.29% ( -0.12) | 38.71% ( 0.12) |
| De Graafschap Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.19% ( -0.03) | 29.81% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.11% ( -0.03) | 65.89% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Emmen | Draw | De Graafschap |
| 2-1 @ 9.75% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.06% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 7.78% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 6.73% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 5.56% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 4.08% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 3.49% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.88% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 2.11% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.44% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.19% ( -0.01)Other @ 4.11% Total : 57.19% | 1-1 @ 9.42% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.9% ( -0)0-0 @ 3.76% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.29% Total : 21.01% | 1-2 @ 5.7% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 4.55% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 2.75% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.38% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.3% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.11% ( 0)Other @ 3.01% Total : 21.8% |
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