Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MVV Maastricht win with a probability of 42.91%. A win for De Graafschap had a probability of 34.73% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a MVV Maastricht win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.8%) and 2-0 (5.29%). The likeliest De Graafschap win was 1-2 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.

Result
MVV Maastricht	Draw	De Graafschap
42.91% ( 0)	22.36% ( 0)	34.73% ( -0)

Both teams to score 67.33% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.94% (

-0)

33.06% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

45.2% (

-0)

54.79% (

MVV Maastricht Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.84% (

16.15% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.4% (

45.6% (

De Graafschap Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.3% (

-0)

19.7% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.3% (

-0)

51.7% (

Score Analysis

MVV Maastricht 42.91%

De Graafschap 34.73%

Draw 22.36%

MVV Maastricht	Draw	De Graafschap
2-1 @ 8.59% 1-0 @ 5.8% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.29% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.22% 3-2 @ 4.24% 3-0 @ 3.21% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.38% 4-2 @ 1.93% 4-0 @ 1.46% 4-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 3.74% Total : 42.91%	1-1 @ 9.42% ( 0) 2-2 @ 6.98% 0-0 @ 3.18% ( 0) 3-3 @ 2.3% Other @ 0.48% Total : 22.36%	1-2 @ 7.66% 0-1 @ 5.17% 0-2 @ 4.2% 1-3 @ 4.15% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.78% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.27% 1-4 @ 1.68% 2-4 @ 1.54% 3-4 @ 0.93% 0-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.43% Total : 34.73%