SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 39.42%. A win for Jong Ajax had a probability of 36.82% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.02%) and 0-2 (5.58%). The likeliest Jong Ajax win was 2-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Jong Ajax | Draw | De Graafschap |
36.82% ( -0.01) | 23.75% ( 0.06) | 39.42% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 62.36% ( -0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.31% ( -0.29) | 39.69% ( 0.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.96% ( -0.3) | 62.04% ( 0.3) |
| Jong Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.34% ( -0.13) | 21.66% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.21% ( -0.2) | 54.79% ( 0.2) |
| De Graafschap Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.6% ( -0.15) | 20.39% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.18% ( -0.23) | 52.81% ( 0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Jong Ajax | Draw | De Graafschap |
| 2-1 @ 8.22% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 6.76% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 5.17% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 4.19% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.33% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 2.64% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.6% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.27% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.01% ( -0)Other @ 2.64% Total : 36.82% | 1-1 @ 10.74% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 6.53% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 4.42% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.75% | 1-2 @ 8.54% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.02% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 5.58% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 4.53% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 3.46% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 2.96% 1-4 @ 1.8% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.38% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.18% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.98% Total : 39.42% |
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