SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ferencvaros win with a probability of 56.79%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Debrecen had a probability of 19.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ferencvaros win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.31%) and 1-2 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.04%), while for a Debrecen win it was 1-0 (6.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ferencvaros would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Debrecen | Draw | Ferencvaros |
19.98% ( -0.23) | 23.23% ( 0.05) | 56.79% ( 0.17) |
| Both teams to score 50.96% ( -0.54) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.29% ( -0.54) | 48.71% ( 0.53) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.18% ( -0.49) | 70.82% ( 0.49) |
| Debrecen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.35% ( -0.55) | 38.64% ( 0.55) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.61% ( -0.53) | 75.38% ( 0.52) |
| Ferencvaros Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.06% ( -0.13) | 16.94% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.99% ( -0.23) | 47.01% ( 0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Debrecen | Draw | Ferencvaros |
| 1-0 @ 6.22% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 5.25% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 2.96% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 1.67% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 1.48% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 0.94% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.47% Total : 19.98% | 1-1 @ 11.04% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.54% ( 0.14)2-2 @ 4.66% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.97% Total : 23.22% | 0-1 @ 11.62% ( 0.21) 0-2 @ 10.31% ( 0.13)1-2 @ 9.81% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 6.11% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 5.81% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.76% ( -0.06)0-4 @ 2.71% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 2.58% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 1.23% ( -0.03)0-5 @ 0.96% 1-5 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.97% Total : 56.78% |
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