SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ferencvaros win with a probability of 51.71%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Varda SE had a probability of 23.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ferencvaros win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.6%) and 0-2 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.69%), while for a Varda SE win it was 1-0 (7.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ferencvaros would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Varda SE | Draw | Ferencvaros |
23.71% ( -0.58) | 24.58% ( 0.29) | 51.71% ( 0.3) |
| Both teams to score 51.78% ( -1.53) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.89% ( -1.71) | 50.11% ( 1.72) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.92% ( -1.54) | 72.08% ( 1.55) |
| Varda SE Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.22% ( -1.46) | 35.78% ( 1.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.44% ( -1.53) | 72.56% ( 1.53) |
| Ferencvaros Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.64% ( -0.54) | 19.36% ( 0.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.85% ( -0.9) | 51.15% ( 0.9) |
| Score Analysis |
| Varda SE | Draw | Ferencvaros |
| 1-0 @ 7.12% ( 0.21) 2-1 @ 6.01% ( -0.16)2-0 @ 3.66% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 2.06% ( -0.14)3-2 @ 1.69% ( -0.15)3-0 @ 1.25% ( -0.06)Other @ 1.92% Total : 23.71% | 1-1 @ 11.69% ( 0.16) 0-0 @ 6.93% ( 0.47)2-2 @ 4.93% ( -0.22)3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.58% | 0-1 @ 11.37% ( 0.59) 1-2 @ 9.6% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 9.34% ( 0.33)1-3 @ 5.25% ( -0.11)0-3 @ 5.11% ( 0.09)2-3 @ 2.7% ( -0.17)1-4 @ 2.16% ( -0.08)0-4 @ 2.1% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.98% Total : 51.71% |
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