SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Deportivo Riestra win with a probability of 33.89%. A draw had a probability of 33.3% and a win for Newell's Old Boys had a probability of 32.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Deportivo Riestra win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.82%) and 2-1 (5.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (17.17%), while for a Newell's Old Boys win it was 0-1 (14.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Deportivo Riestra | Draw | Newell's Old Boys |
33.89% ( 0.1) | 33.31% ( -0.02) | 32.79% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 34.29% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 25.92% ( 0.05) | 74.08% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 10.27% ( 0.03) | 89.73% ( -0.03) |
| Deportivo Riestra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.97% ( 0.1) | 41.03% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.42% ( 0.09) | 77.58% ( -0.09) |
| Newell's Old Boys Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.15% ( -0.02) | 41.85% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.69% ( -0.02) | 78.31% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Deportivo Riestra | Draw | Newell's Old Boys |
| 1-0 @ 15.29% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.82% ( 0.03)2-1 @ 5.94% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.02% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 1.76% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.06% Total : 33.88% | 0-0 @ 17.17% ( -0.03) 1-1 @ 13.32% 2-2 @ 2.59% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.23% Total : 33.31% | 0-1 @ 14.95% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 6.51% ( -0.02)1-2 @ 5.8% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.69% ( -0)Other @ 1.94% Total : 32.79% |
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