SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gimnasia win with a probability of 55.34%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Deportivo Riestra had a probability of 17.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gimnasia win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.45%) and 2-1 (8.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.1%), while for a Deportivo Riestra win it was 0-1 (8.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Gimnasia | Draw | Deportivo Riestra |
55.34% ( -0.03) | 27.05% ( 0.07) | 17.61% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 37.46% ( -0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.34% ( -0.25) | 64.66% ( 0.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.35% ( -0.18) | 83.65% ( 0.18) |
| Gimnasia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.16% ( -0.12) | 23.83% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.99% ( -0.18) | 58.01% ( 0.17) |
| Deportivo Riestra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 49.19% ( -0.21) | 50.81% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 14.79% ( -0.14) | 85.21% ( 0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gimnasia | Draw | Deportivo Riestra |
| 1-0 @ 17.36% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 12.45% ( 0.03)2-1 @ 8.43% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 5.95% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.03% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 2.13% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.45% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.36% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.16% Total : 55.33% | 0-0 @ 12.1% ( 0.11) 1-1 @ 11.75% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 2.85% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.33% Total : 27.03% | 0-1 @ 8.2% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 3.98% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 2.78% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.65% Total : 17.61% |
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