SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentinos Juniors win with a probability of 59.01%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Newell's Old Boys had a probability of 15.64%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentinos Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.22%) and 2-1 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.19%), while for a Newell's Old Boys win it was 0-1 (7.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Argentinos Juniors would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Argentinos Juniors | Draw | Newell's Old Boys |
59.01% ( 1.45) | 25.35% ( -0.74) | 15.64% ( -0.72) |
| Both teams to score 38.01% ( 0.4) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.04% ( 1.31) | 61.95% ( -1.32) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.29% ( 0.96) | 81.7% ( -0.96) |
| Argentinos Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.86% ( 1.14) | 21.14% ( -1.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.01% ( 1.74) | 53.98% ( -1.75) |
| Newell's Old Boys Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 48.2% ( -0.19) | 51.8% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 14.12% ( -0.13) | 85.87% ( 0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Argentinos Juniors | Draw | Newell's Old Boys |
| 1-0 @ 17.01% ( -0.25) 2-0 @ 13.22% ( 0.26)2-1 @ 8.7% ( 0.13)3-0 @ 6.85% ( 0.36)3-1 @ 4.51% ( 0.22)4-0 @ 2.66% ( 0.23)4-1 @ 1.75% ( 0.14)3-2 @ 1.48% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.82% Total : 59% | 1-1 @ 11.19% ( -0.22) 0-0 @ 10.94% ( -0.55)2-2 @ 2.86% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.35% Total : 25.34% | 0-1 @ 7.2% ( -0.4) 1-2 @ 3.68% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 2.37% ( -0.15)Other @ 2.38% Total : 15.64% |
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