SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing Club win with a probability of 45.63%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Newell's Old Boys had a probability of 26.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing Club win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.22%) and 1-2 (8.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.95%), while for a Newell's Old Boys win it was 1-0 (9.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Racing Club in this match.
| Result | ||
| Newell's Old Boys | Draw | Racing Club |
26.22% ( -2.23) | 28.14% ( -0.25) | 45.63% ( 2.48) |
| Both teams to score 44.03% ( -0.71) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.67% ( -0.21) | 61.32% ( 0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.76% ( -0.16) | 81.23% ( 0.15) |
| Newell's Old Boys Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.23% ( -2) | 39.76% ( 2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.56% ( -1.89) | 76.43% ( 1.89) |
| Racing Club Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.1% ( 1.2) | 26.89% ( -1.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.78% ( 1.55) | 62.21% ( -1.56) |
| Score Analysis |
| Newell's Old Boys | Draw | Racing Club |
| 1-0 @ 9.86% ( -0.47) 2-1 @ 5.97% ( -0.41)2-0 @ 4.55% ( -0.48)3-1 @ 1.84% ( -0.24)3-0 @ 1.4% ( -0.24)3-2 @ 1.21% ( -0.11)Other @ 1.4% Total : 26.22% | 1-1 @ 12.95% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 10.69% ( 0.08)2-2 @ 3.92% ( -0.13)Other @ 0.57% Total : 28.13% | 0-1 @ 14.04% ( 0.58) 0-2 @ 9.22% ( 0.67)1-2 @ 8.51% ( 0.18)0-3 @ 4.04% ( 0.42)1-3 @ 3.72% ( 0.2)2-3 @ 1.72% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.33% ( 0.18)1-4 @ 1.22% ( 0.1)Other @ 1.84% Total : 45.63% |
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