SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Djurgardens IF win with a probability of 51.17%. A win for GAIS had a probability of 26.19% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Djurgardens IF win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.08%) and 2-0 (7.52%). The likeliest GAIS win was 1-2 (6.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Djurgardens IF would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Djurgardens IF | Draw | GAIS |
51.17% ( -4.63) | 22.64% ( 0.77) | 26.19% ( 3.85) |
| Both teams to score 60.87% ( 1.85) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.69% ( 0.41) | 39.31% ( -0.41) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.35% ( 0.42) | 61.65% ( -0.42) |
| Djurgardens IF Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.47% ( -1.39) | 15.53% ( 1.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.54% ( -2.64) | 44.46% ( 2.64) |
| GAIS Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.06% ( 3.32) | 27.94% ( -3.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.43% ( 4.05) | 63.56% ( -4.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Djurgardens IF | Draw | GAIS |
| 2-1 @ 9.6% ( -0.24) 1-0 @ 8.08% ( -0.57)2-0 @ 7.52% ( -0.93)3-1 @ 5.96% ( -0.45)3-0 @ 4.67% ( -0.84)3-2 @ 3.8% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 2.77% ( -0.36)4-0 @ 2.18% ( -0.52)4-2 @ 1.77% ( -0.05)5-1 @ 1.03% ( -0.19)Other @ 3.8% Total : 51.17% | 1-1 @ 10.3% ( 0.25) 2-2 @ 6.12% ( 0.4)0-0 @ 4.34% ( -0.08)3-3 @ 1.61% ( 0.17)Other @ 0.27% Total : 22.64% | 1-2 @ 6.57% ( 0.72) 0-1 @ 5.53% ( 0.39)0-2 @ 3.53% ( 0.54)1-3 @ 2.79% ( 0.53)2-3 @ 2.6% ( 0.38)0-3 @ 1.5% ( 0.34)Other @ 3.66% Total : 26.19% |
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