SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 47.54%. A win for Djurgardens IF had a probability of 28.85% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.41%) and 0-2 (7.26%). The likeliest Djurgardens IF win was 2-1 (7.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Malmo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Djurgardens IF | Draw | Malmo |
28.85% ( -0.65) | 23.61% ( -0.09) | 47.54% ( 0.74) |
| Both teams to score 59.68% ( -0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.13% ( 0.03) | 41.86% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.73% ( 0.03) | 64.27% ( -0.02) |
| Djurgardens IF Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.62% ( -0.42) | 27.37% ( 0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.16% ( -0.55) | 62.84% ( 0.56) |
| Malmo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.18% ( 0.31) | 17.82% ( -0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.44% ( 0.52) | 48.56% ( -0.51) |
| Score Analysis |
| Djurgardens IF | Draw | Malmo |
| 2-1 @ 7.06% ( -0.11) 1-0 @ 6.32% ( -0.08)2-0 @ 4.09% ( -0.1)3-1 @ 3.05% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 2.63% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 1.77% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 0.99% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.94% Total : 28.85% | 1-1 @ 10.9% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.09% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 4.88% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.61% | 1-2 @ 9.4% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 8.41% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 7.26% ( 0.13)1-3 @ 5.41% ( 0.09)0-3 @ 4.17% ( 0.12)2-3 @ 3.5% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 2.33% ( 0.06)0-4 @ 1.8% ( 0.07)2-4 @ 1.51% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.75% Total : 47.54% |
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