SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Djurgardens IF win with a probability of 45.72%. A win for Kalmar had a probability of 29.58% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Djurgardens IF win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.27%) and 0-2 (7.51%). The likeliest Kalmar win was 1-0 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Kalmar | Draw | Djurgardens IF |
29.58% ( -0.01) | 24.69% ( -0.01) | 45.72% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 56.46% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.68% ( 0.04) | 46.32% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.39% ( 0.03) | 68.61% ( -0.04) |
| Kalmar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.87% ( 0.01) | 29.13% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.94% ( 0.01) | 65.05% ( -0.02) |
| Djurgardens IF Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.66% ( 0.02) | 20.34% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.27% ( 0.04) | 52.73% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kalmar | Draw | Djurgardens IF |
| 1-0 @ 7.31% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.18% ( -0)2-0 @ 4.51% ( -0)3-1 @ 2.95% 3-2 @ 2.35% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.85% ( -0)4-1 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.53% Total : 29.58% | 1-1 @ 11.63% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.92% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.72% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.25% ( 0)Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.68% | 0-1 @ 9.43% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.27% ( 0)0-2 @ 7.51% ( -0)1-3 @ 4.92% ( 0)0-3 @ 3.99% ( 0)2-3 @ 3.04% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.96% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.59% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.21% ( 0)Other @ 2.81% Total : 45.72% |
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