SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dnepr Mogilev win with a probability of 36.25%. A win for Shakhtyor Soligorsk had a probability of 35.93% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dnepr Mogilev win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.82%) and 2-0 (6.59%). The likeliest Shakhtyor Soligorsk win was 0-1 (10.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dnepr Mogilev | Draw | Shakhtyor Soligorsk |
36.25% ( 0.41) | 27.82% ( -0.01) | 35.93% ( -0.39) |
| Both teams to score 48.37% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.45% ( 0.05) | 57.55% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.67% ( 0.04) | 78.34% ( -0.03) |
| Dnepr Mogilev Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.65% ( 0.28) | 30.36% ( -0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.46% ( 0.33) | 66.55% ( -0.33) |
| Shakhtyor Soligorsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.45% ( -0.22) | 30.56% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.22% ( -0.27) | 66.79% ( 0.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dnepr Mogilev | Draw | Shakhtyor Soligorsk |
| 1-0 @ 11.05% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 7.82% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 6.59% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 3.11% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 2.62% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 1.84% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 0.93% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.3% Total : 36.25% | 1-1 @ 13.11% 0-0 @ 9.28% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 4.63% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.82% | 0-1 @ 10.99% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 7.77% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 6.52% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 3.07% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 2.58% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.26% Total : 35.93% |
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