SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dnepr Mogilev win with a probability of 63.87%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Naftan had a probability of 15.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dnepr Mogilev win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.87%) and 1-2 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.01%), while for a Naftan win it was 1-0 (5.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Naftan | Draw | Dnepr Mogilev |
15.06% ( 0.38) | 21.07% ( 0.44) | 63.87% ( -0.82) |
| Both teams to score 48.14% ( -0.45) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.48% ( -1.1) | 47.52% ( 1.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.27% ( -1.03) | 69.73% ( 1.02) |
| Naftan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.1% ( -0.13) | 43.89% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.96% ( -0.11) | 80.04% ( 0.11) |
| Dnepr Mogilev Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.81% ( -0.6) | 14.19% ( 0.6) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.1% ( -1.18) | 41.9% ( 1.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Naftan | Draw | Dnepr Mogilev |
| 1-0 @ 5.13% ( 0.21) 2-1 @ 4.12% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 2.11% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 1.13% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.11% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.46% Total : 15.06% | 1-1 @ 10.01% ( 0.2) 0-0 @ 6.23% ( 0.28)2-2 @ 4.03% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.8% Total : 21.06% | 0-1 @ 12.16% ( 0.29) 0-2 @ 11.87% ( 0.03)1-2 @ 9.78% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 7.73% ( -0.15)1-3 @ 6.36% ( -0.15)0-4 @ 3.77% ( -0.16)1-4 @ 3.11% ( -0.14)2-3 @ 2.62% ( -0.07)0-5 @ 1.47% ( -0.1)2-4 @ 1.28% ( -0.06)1-5 @ 1.21% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.5% Total : 63.87% |
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