Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtyor Soligorsk win with a probability of 52.62%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Rukh Brest had a probability of 22.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtyor Soligorsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 2-0 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.6%), while for a Rukh Brest win it was 0-1 (6.98%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shakhtyor Soligorsk would win this match.
