SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oldham Athletic win with a probability of 53.08%. A win for Dorking Wanderers had a probability of 24.47% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oldham Athletic win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.47%) and 0-2 (8%). The likeliest Dorking Wanderers win was 2-1 (6.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oldham Athletic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dorking Wanderers | Draw | Oldham Athletic |
24.47% ( -0.32) | 22.45% ( 0.05) | 53.08% ( 0.27) |
| Both teams to score 59.72% ( -0.54) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.98% ( -0.56) | 40.02% ( 0.56) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.61% ( -0.58) | 62.38% ( 0.58) |
| Dorking Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.37% ( -0.55) | 29.63% ( 0.55) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.32% ( -0.67) | 65.68% ( 0.68) |
| Oldham Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.86% ( -0.11) | 15.14% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.29% ( -0.2) | 43.71% ( 0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dorking Wanderers | Draw | Oldham Athletic |
| 2-1 @ 6.26% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 5.46% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 3.32% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 2.54% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 2.4% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 1.35% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.16% Total : 24.47% | 1-1 @ 10.3% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.91% ( -0.07)0-0 @ 4.49% ( 0.12)3-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.24% Total : 22.45% | 1-2 @ 9.72% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 8.47% ( 0.19)0-2 @ 8% ( 0.15)1-3 @ 6.12% ( -0)0-3 @ 5.03% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 3.72% ( -0.06)1-4 @ 2.89% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 2.38% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.76% ( -0.04)1-5 @ 1.09% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.91% Total : 53.08% |
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