Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dorking Wanderers win with a probability of 44.36%. A win for Oxford City had a probability of 32.19% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dorking Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.43%) and 2-0 (6.35%). The likeliest Oxford City win was 1-2 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Dorking Wanderers | Draw | Oxford City |
44.36% ( -0.47) | 23.45% ( 0.27) | 32.19% ( 0.2) |
Both teams to score 62.23% ( -0.89) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.65% ( -1.21) | 39.35% ( 1.21) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.31% ( -1.27) | 61.68% ( 1.27) |
Dorking Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.9% ( -0.67) | 18.09% ( 0.67) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.97% ( -1.15) | 49.03% ( 1.16) |
Oxford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.98% ( -0.46) | 24.02% ( 0.47) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.72% ( -0.67) | 58.28% ( 0.67) |
Score Analysis |
Dorking Wanderers | Draw | Oxford City |
2-1 @ 9.06% 1-0 @ 7.43% ( 0.26) 2-0 @ 6.35% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 5.16% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 3.68% ( -0.13) 3-0 @ 3.62% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 2.21% ( -0.1) 4-2 @ 1.57% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 1.55% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.73% Total : 44.36% | 1-1 @ 10.59% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 6.46% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 4.35% ( 0.24) 3-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.44% | 1-2 @ 7.56% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 6.2% ( 0.26) 0-2 @ 4.42% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 3.59% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 3.07% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 2.1% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.28% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 1.1% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.87% Total : 32.19% |
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