SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford City win with a probability of 44.75%. A win for Dorking Wanderers had a probability of 31.47% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.95%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest Dorking Wanderers win was 1-2 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Oxford City | Draw | Dorking Wanderers |
44.75% ( 0.01) | 23.78% ( 0.02) | 31.47% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 60.69% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.77% ( -0.07) | 41.22% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.38% ( -0.08) | 63.61% ( 0.08) |
| Oxford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.31% ( -0.03) | 18.69% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.96% ( -0.04) | 50.03% ( 0.04) |
| Dorking Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.64% ( -0.05) | 25.36% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.84% ( -0.07) | 60.15% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Oxford City | Draw | Dorking Wanderers |
| 2-1 @ 9.15% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.95% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 6.67% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.11% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.73% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.51% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.15% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.56% 4-2 @ 1.47% ( -0)Other @ 3.46% Total : 44.75% | 1-1 @ 10.9% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.28% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.74% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.77% | 1-2 @ 7.48% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.5% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.46% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.42% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.87% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.04% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.17% ( -0)2-4 @ 0.98% ( -0)Other @ 2.53% Total : 31.47% |
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