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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 44.5%. A win for Ebbsfleet had a probability of 30.69% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.16%) and 0-2 (7.26%). The likeliest Ebbsfleet win was 1-0 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ebbsfleet | Draw | Hartlepool United |
30.69% ( -0.05) | 24.81% ( -0.02) | 44.5% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 56.7% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.71% ( 0.06) | 46.29% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.42% ( 0.06) | 68.57% ( -0.06) |
| Ebbsfleet Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.65% | 28.35% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.91% | 64.09% ( 0) |
| Hartlepool United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.14% ( 0.05) | 20.86% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.44% ( 0.09) | 53.56% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ebbsfleet | Draw | Hartlepool United |
| 1-0 @ 7.46% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 7.36% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 4.7% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.09% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.43% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.97% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 0.98% ( -0)Other @ 2.71% Total : 30.7% | 1-1 @ 11.68% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.91% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 5.77% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.27% ( 0)Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.8% | 0-1 @ 9.27% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.16% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 7.26% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 4.78% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.8% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.02% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.87% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.49% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.18% ( 0)Other @ 2.67% Total : 44.5% |
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