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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 56.25%. A win for Ebbsfleet had a probability of 22.53% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.9%) and 1-0 (7.71%). The likeliest Ebbsfleet win was 1-2 (5.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hartlepool United | Draw | Ebbsfleet |
56.25% ( -0.03) | 21.21% ( 0.02) | 22.53% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 61.68% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.65% ( -0.09) | 36.35% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.52% ( -0.1) | 58.47% ( 0.1) |
| Hartlepool United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.11% ( -0.04) | 12.89% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.7% ( -0.08) | 39.29% ( 0.08) |
| Ebbsfleet Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.8% ( -0.04) | 29.2% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.85% ( -0.05) | 65.14% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hartlepool United | Draw | Ebbsfleet |
| 2-1 @ 9.72% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.9% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 7.71% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 6.64% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 5.39% 3-2 @ 4.09% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 3.4% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.76% ( -0)4-2 @ 2.09% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.39% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.13% ( -0)Other @ 4.01% Total : 56.25% | 1-1 @ 9.49% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.99% ( -0)0-0 @ 3.76% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.29% Total : 21.21% | 1-2 @ 5.84% ( 0) 0-1 @ 4.63% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 2.85% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.46% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.4% 0-3 @ 1.17% ( 0)Other @ 3.18% Total : 22.53% |
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