SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 42.12%. A win for Tamworth had a probability of 32.5% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.89%) and 0-2 (7%). The likeliest Tamworth win was 1-0 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Hartlepool United in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Hartlepool United.
| Result | ||
| Tamworth | Draw | Hartlepool United |
32.5% ( 0.15) | 25.38% ( -0.03) | 42.12% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 55.55% ( 0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.87% ( 0.15) | 48.13% ( -0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.71% ( 0.14) | 70.29% ( -0.15) |
| Tamworth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.91% ( 0.17) | 28.08% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.25% ( 0.22) | 63.75% ( -0.22) |
| Hartlepool United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.25% ( 0) | 22.75% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.57% ( 0.01) | 56.43% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tamworth | Draw | Hartlepool United |
| 1-0 @ 8.11% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.63% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 5.15% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.23% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.39% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.18% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.03% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.78% Total : 32.5% | 1-1 @ 12.01% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.39% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 5.65% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.38% | 0-1 @ 9.46% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 8.89% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 7% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 4.39% ( -0)0-3 @ 3.46% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.79% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.63% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.28% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.19% Total : 42.12% |
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