Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 39.34%. A win for Ebbsfleet had a probability of 37.61% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.19%) and 0-2 (5.16%). The likeliest Ebbsfleet win was 2-1 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hartlepool United would win this match.
Result | ||
Ebbsfleet | Draw | Hartlepool United |
37.61% ( -0.03) | 23.05% ( 0.01) | 39.34% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 65.16% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.91% ( -0.04) | 36.09% ( 0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.8% ( -0.04) | 58.19% ( 0.04) |
Ebbsfleet Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.32% ( -0.03) | 19.67% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.33% ( -0.05) | 51.66% ( 0.05) |
Hartlepool United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.11% ( -0.01) | 18.88% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.64% ( -0.01) | 50.36% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Ebbsfleet | Draw | Hartlepool United |
2-1 @ 8.19% ( -0) 1-0 @ 6.04% ( 0) 2-0 @ 4.91% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.44% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.7% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.66% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.8% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.5% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.08% ( -0) Other @ 3.29% Total : 37.61% | 1-1 @ 10.06% 2-2 @ 6.82% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.72% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 2.05% ( -0) Other @ 0.39% Total : 23.04% | 1-2 @ 8.39% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.19% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.16% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.66% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.79% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.87% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.94% 2-4 @ 1.58% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.2% ( 0) Other @ 3.56% Total : 39.34% |
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