SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 39.91%. A draw had a probability of 31.8% and a win for Eldense had a probability of 28.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.38%) and 1-2 (6.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.29%), while for a Eldense win it was 1-0 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Valencia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Eldense | Draw | Valencia |
28.31% ( 0.14) | 31.78% ( 0.34) | 39.91% ( -0.49) |
| Both teams to score 36.62% ( -0.69) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 29.02% ( -0.85) | 70.98% ( 0.84) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 12.15% ( -0.54) | 87.85% ( 0.53) |
| Eldense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.42% ( -0.39) | 43.58% ( 0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 20.22% ( -0.33) | 79.77% ( 0.32) |
| Valencia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.9% ( -0.78) | 35.1% ( 0.77) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 28.15% ( -0.82) | 71.85% ( 0.81) |
| Score Analysis |
| Eldense | Draw | Valencia |
| 1-0 @ 12.7% ( 0.26) 2-1 @ 5.52% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 5.28% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 1.53% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 1.46% ( -0)Other @ 1.81% Total : 28.3% | 0-0 @ 15.29% ( 0.47) 1-1 @ 13.3% 2-2 @ 2.89% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.3% Total : 31.78% | 0-1 @ 16.01% ( 0.16) 0-2 @ 8.38% ( -0.09)1-2 @ 6.96% ( -0.15)0-3 @ 2.93% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 2.43% ( -0.11)2-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.18% Total : 39.9% |
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