SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burgos win with a probability of 49.68%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Eldense had a probability of 22.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burgos win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.47%) and 2-1 (8.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.58%), while for a Eldense win it was 0-1 (9.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Burgos in this match.
| Result | ||
| Burgos | Draw | Eldense |
49.68% ( 0.04) | 27.8% ( -0.02) | 22.51% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 41.73% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.41% ( 0.04) | 62.59% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.83% ( 0.03) | 82.17% ( -0.03) |
| Burgos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.51% ( 0.04) | 25.48% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.67% ( 0.05) | 60.32% ( -0.06) |
| Eldense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56% ( -0) | 44% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.88% ( -0) | 80.12% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Burgos | Draw | Eldense |
| 1-0 @ 15.32% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 10.47% 2-1 @ 8.6% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.78% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.92% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.63% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.61% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.34% ( 0)Other @ 2% Total : 49.67% | 1-1 @ 12.58% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 11.21% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 3.53% ( 0)Other @ 0.47% Total : 27.79% | 0-1 @ 9.21% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 5.17% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.78% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.41% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.03% ( -0)2-3 @ 0.97% ( 0)Other @ 0.95% Total : 22.51% |
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