SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malaga win with a probability of 51.74%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Eldense had a probability of 20.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malaga win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.38%) and 2-1 (8.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.3%), while for a Eldense win it was 0-1 (9.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Malaga would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Malaga | Draw | Eldense |
51.74% ( 0.02) | 28.05% ( -0.03) | 20.21% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 38.68% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 34.89% ( 0.08) | 65.1% ( -0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.03% ( 0.06) | 83.96% ( -0.06) |
| Malaga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.33% ( 0.05) | 25.67% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.42% ( 0.06) | 60.57% ( -0.07) |
| Eldense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.04% ( 0.05) | 47.96% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.8% ( 0.04) | 83.2% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Malaga | Draw | Eldense |
| 1-0 @ 16.74% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 11.38% 2-1 @ 8.37% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 5.16% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.79% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.75% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.39% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.29% ( 0)Other @ 1.86% Total : 51.73% | 0-0 @ 12.3% ( -0.04) 1-1 @ 12.3% 2-2 @ 3.07% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.36% Total : 28.04% | 0-1 @ 9.05% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.52% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.32% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.11% ( 0)Other @ 2.22% Total : 20.21% |
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