Alaves have struggled to pick up points on the road this season, having lost six of their previous seven away league matches.
Although that may make for concerning reading, Coudet managed to end a run of six consecutive away league defeats with a draw in his first La Liga game in charge, and we think Alaves will pick up another point against a Valencia side that are low on confidence following a number of poor results.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Valencia win with a probability of 44.75%. A draw has a probability of 28.9% and a win for Alaves has a probability of 26.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win is 1-0 with a probability of 14.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.22%) and 2-1 (8.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (13.07%), while for an Alaves win it is 0-1 (10.43%).
0.29) 
-0.06) 
