SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elfsborg win with a probability of 51.07%. A win for Brommapojkarna had a probability of 25.72% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elfsborg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.93%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Brommapojkarna win was 1-2 (6.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Elfsborg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Elfsborg | Draw | Brommapojkarna |
51.07% ( -0.98) | 23.21% ( 0.34) | 25.72% ( 0.64) |
| Both teams to score 58.41% ( -0.53) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.65% ( -1) | 42.35% ( 1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.25% ( -1.01) | 64.76% ( 1.01) |
| Elfsborg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.33% ( -0.71) | 16.68% ( 0.72) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.46% ( -1.29) | 46.54% ( 1.3) |
| Brommapojkarna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.1% ( -0.04) | 29.9% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34% ( -0.04) | 66% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Elfsborg | Draw | Brommapojkarna |
| 2-1 @ 9.66% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 8.93% ( 0.18)2-0 @ 8% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 5.77% ( -0.17)3-0 @ 4.78% ( -0.13)3-2 @ 3.48% ( -0.1)4-1 @ 2.58% ( -0.14)4-0 @ 2.14% ( -0.11)4-2 @ 1.56% ( -0.09)5-1 @ 0.93% ( -0.07)Other @ 3.26% Total : 51.07% | 1-1 @ 10.78% ( 0.21) 2-2 @ 5.83% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 4.99% ( 0.22)3-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.2% | 1-2 @ 6.51% ( 0.12) 0-1 @ 6.02% ( 0.26)0-2 @ 3.63% ( 0.15)1-3 @ 2.62% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 2.35% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.46% ( 0.06)Other @ 3.13% Total : 25.72% |
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