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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Hornchurch win with a probability of 51.31%. A win for Enfield Town had a probability of 24.93% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an AFC Hornchurch win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.68%) and 0-2 (8.55%). The likeliest Enfield Town win was 1-0 (6.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AFC Hornchurch would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Enfield Town | Draw | AFC Hornchurch |
24.93% ( -1) | 23.76% ( -0.47) | 51.31% ( 1.47) |
| Both teams to score 55.74% ( 0.54) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.48% ( 1.18) | 45.52% ( -1.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.15% ( 1.11) | 67.85% ( -1.11) |
| Enfield Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.78% ( -0.18) | 32.22% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.29% ( -0.21) | 68.71% ( 0.21) |
| AFC Hornchurch Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.23% ( 1.02) | 17.76% ( -1.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.54% ( 1.73) | 48.46% ( -1.72) |
| Score Analysis |
| Enfield Town | Draw | AFC Hornchurch |
| 1-0 @ 6.48% ( -0.37) 2-1 @ 6.34% ( -0.18)2-0 @ 3.67% ( -0.23)3-1 @ 2.39% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 2.07% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.39% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.59% Total : 24.93% | 1-1 @ 11.2% ( -0.25) 0-0 @ 5.72% ( -0.29)2-2 @ 5.48% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.19% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.75% | 0-1 @ 9.89% ( -0.17) 1-2 @ 9.68% ( 0.1)0-2 @ 8.55% ( 0.13)1-3 @ 5.58% ( 0.24)0-3 @ 4.92% ( 0.23)2-3 @ 3.16% ( 0.12)1-4 @ 2.41% ( 0.18)0-4 @ 2.13% ( 0.17)2-4 @ 1.36% ( 0.09)Other @ 3.64% Total : 51.31% |
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