SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Hornchurch win with a probability of 41.93%. A win for Weymouth had a probability of 30.69% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an AFC Hornchurch win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (7.85%). The likeliest Weymouth win was 0-1 (9.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for AFC Hornchurch in this match.
| Result | ||
| AFC Hornchurch | Draw | Weymouth |
41.93% ( -0.07) | 27.37% ( -0.01) | 30.69% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 48.59% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.24% ( 0.05) | 56.76% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.29% ( 0.04) | 77.7% ( -0.04) |
| AFC Hornchurch Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.29% ( -0.02) | 26.7% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.04% ( -0.02) | 61.96% ( 0.02) |
| Weymouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.3% ( 0.08) | 33.7% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.64% ( 0.09) | 70.35% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| AFC Hornchurch | Draw | Weymouth |
| 1-0 @ 11.88% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.53% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 7.85% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.76% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.45% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.04% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.24% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.14% ( -0)Other @ 2.05% Total : 41.93% | 1-1 @ 12.92% 0-0 @ 9% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 4.64% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.81% Total : 27.37% | 0-1 @ 9.79% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.03% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.32% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.55% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.93% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.68% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.39% Total : 30.69% |
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