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National League South | Gameweek 17
Nov 9, 2024 at 3pm UK
Gallagher Stadium

Maidstone
1 - 0
Hornchurch

Eweka (5')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Wraight (11'), Clements (35'), Nash (45+3')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Maidstone United and AFC Hornchurch.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dorking 1-1 Maidstone
Tuesday, November 5 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Hornchurch 1-0 Hemel Hemps.
Tuesday, November 5 at 7.45pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maidstone United win with a probability of 54.97%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for AFC Hornchurch had a probability of 21.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Maidstone United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.8%) and 2-0 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.16%), while for an AFC Hornchurch win it was 0-1 (6.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Maidstone United in this match.

Result
Maidstone UnitedDrawAFC Hornchurch
54.97% (0.018000000000001 0.02) 23.5% (-0.00099999999999767 -0) 21.53% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 52.43% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.09% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)47.9% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.91% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)70.08% (0.012999999999991 0.01)
Maidstone United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.7%17.29% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.36% (0.00099999999999767 0)47.64% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
AFC Hornchurch Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.39% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)36.6% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.61% (-0.026 -0.03)73.39% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Maidstone United 54.97%
    AFC Hornchurch 21.53%
    Draw 23.49%
Maidstone UnitedDrawAFC Hornchurch
1-0 @ 11.1%
2-1 @ 9.8% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 9.75% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.73%
3-0 @ 5.7% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-2 @ 2.88% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.51%
4-0 @ 2.5% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-2 @ 1.26% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.74%
Total : 54.97%
1-1 @ 11.16%
0-0 @ 6.33% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 4.92% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 0.97% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 23.49%
0-1 @ 6.36% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-2 @ 5.61% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-2 @ 3.2% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 1.88% (-0.002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.65% (-0.002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.07% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 21.53%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Dorking 1-1 Maidstone
Tuesday, November 5 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Solihull 3-0 Maidstone
Saturday, November 2 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Maidstone 1-0 Hemel Hemps.
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Maidstone 1-1 Slough
Saturday, October 19 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Maidstone 3-0 Ebbsfleet
Saturday, October 12 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Worthing 0-2 Maidstone
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Hornchurch 1-0 Hemel Hemps.
Tuesday, November 5 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Hornchurch 2-1 Torquay Utd
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Boreham Wood 1-1 Hornchurch
Wednesday, October 23 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Hornchurch 0-0 Bath City
Saturday, October 19 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Salisbury 2-2 Hornchurch
Saturday, October 12 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Dorking 3-1 Hornchurch
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in National League South


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