SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estrela Amadora win with a probability of 52.26%. A win for SC Farense had a probability of 24.53% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estrela Amadora win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.4%) and 2-0 (8.42%). The likeliest SC Farense win was 1-2 (6.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Estrela Amadora | Draw | SC Farense |
52.26% ( -0.43) | 23.22% ( 0.18) | 24.53% ( 0.25) |
| Both teams to score 57.1% ( -0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.49% ( -0.59) | 43.51% ( 0.59) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.09% ( -0.58) | 65.91% ( 0.58) |
| Estrela Amadora Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.33% ( -0.37) | 16.67% ( 0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.46% ( -0.66) | 46.54% ( 0.66) |
| SC Farense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.52% ( -0.11) | 31.48% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.14% ( -0.13) | 67.86% ( 0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Estrela Amadora | Draw | SC Farense |
| 2-1 @ 9.73% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 9.4% ( 0.13)2-0 @ 8.42% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.81% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 5.03% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 3.36% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 2.6% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 2.25% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.5% ( -0.05)5-1 @ 0.93% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.21% Total : 52.26% | 1-1 @ 10.86% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 5.63% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 5.25% ( 0.14)3-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.21% | 1-2 @ 6.28% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 6.07% ( 0.14)0-2 @ 3.51% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 2.42% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.17% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.73% Total : 24.53% |
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