SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 62.28%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 15.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.89%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.39%), while for a Estrela Amadora win it was 0-1 (5.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Famalicao | Draw | Estrela Amadora |
62.28% ( 0.13) | 21.91% ( -0.03) | 15.81% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 47.26% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.38% ( -0.07) | 49.62% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.36% ( -0.06) | 71.64% ( 0.07) |
| Famalicao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.61% ( 0.02) | 15.39% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.81% ( 0.03) | 44.19% ( -0.03) |
| Estrela Amadora Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.85% ( -0.17) | 44.14% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.76% ( -0.14) | 80.24% ( 0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Famalicao | Draw | Estrela Amadora |
| 1-0 @ 12.71% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 11.89% ( 0.04)2-1 @ 9.73% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 7.42% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 6.07% ( -0)4-0 @ 3.47% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.84% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.48% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.3% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.16% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.06% ( 0)Other @ 2.13% Total : 62.27% | 1-1 @ 10.39% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.79% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 3.98% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.75% Total : 21.9% | 0-1 @ 5.55% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.25% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 2.27% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.49% Total : 15.81% |
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