SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vizela win with a probability of 46.65%. A win for SC Farense had a probability of 29.56% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vizela win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.41%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest SC Farense win was 1-2 (7.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Vizela in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Vizela.
| Result | ||
| Vizela | Draw | SC Farense |
46.65% ( -0.04) | 23.78% ( 0) | 29.56% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 59.59% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.79% ( 0.02) | 42.2% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.39% ( 0.03) | 64.61% ( -0.02) |
| Vizela Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.7% ( -0) | 18.3% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.62% ( -0.01) | 49.38% ( 0.01) |
| SC Farense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.93% ( 0.04) | 27.06% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.56% ( 0.05) | 62.43% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Vizela | Draw | SC Farense |
| 2-1 @ 9.33% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.41% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 7.14% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.28% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.04% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.45% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.24% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.72% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.47% ( 0)Other @ 3.56% Total : 46.65% | 1-1 @ 10.99% 2-2 @ 6.1% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.95% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.5% ( 0)Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.78% | 1-2 @ 7.18% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 6.47% 0-2 @ 4.23% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.13% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.66% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.84% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.02% ( 0)Other @ 3.02% Total : 29.56% |
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