SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Zurich win with a probability of 52.85%. A win for FC Winterthur had a probability of 23.8% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Zurich win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.76%) and 0-2 (8.76%). The likeliest FC Winterthur win was 1-0 (6.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Zurich would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Winterthur | Draw | FC Zurich |
23.8% ( 0.09) | 23.35% ( 0.03) | 52.85% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 55.82% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.18% ( -0.02) | 44.82% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.82% ( -0.03) | 67.18% ( 0.03) |
| FC Winterthur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.2% ( 0.06) | 32.8% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.63% ( 0.07) | 69.37% ( -0.07) |
| FC Zurich Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.06% ( -0.05) | 16.94% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.98% ( -0.09) | 47.02% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Winterthur | Draw | FC Zurich |
| 1-0 @ 6.19% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 6.13% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 3.45% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 2.28% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.02% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.28% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.44% Total : 23.8% | 1-1 @ 10.99% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.56% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.44% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.2% ( 0)Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.35% | 0-1 @ 9.87% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.76% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 8.76% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 5.78% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 5.18% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 3.22% ( -0)1-4 @ 2.57% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 2.3% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.43% ( -0)1-5 @ 0.91% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.07% Total : 52.85% |
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