SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Zurich win with a probability of 59.25%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for FC Winterthur had a probability of 19.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Zurich win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.94%) and 2-0 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.14%), while for a FC Winterthur win it was 1-2 (5.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| FC Zurich | Draw | FC Winterthur |
59.25% ( 0.1) | 21.58% ( -0) | 19.17% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 54.99% ( -0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.3% ( -0.14) | 42.7% ( 0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.89% ( -0.14) | 65.11% ( 0.14) |
| FC Zurich Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.94% ( -0.02) | 14.06% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.35% ( -0.03) | 41.64% ( 0.03) |
| FC Winterthur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.98% ( -0.18) | 36.02% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.2% ( -0.19) | 72.8% ( 0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Zurich | Draw | FC Winterthur |
| 2-1 @ 9.95% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.94% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 9.75% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 6.51% ( -0)3-0 @ 6.37% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 3.32% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 3.19% ( -0)4-0 @ 3.13% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.63% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.25% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.23% ( 0)Other @ 2.99% Total : 59.25% | 1-1 @ 10.14% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.08% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 5.06% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.15% Total : 21.57% | 1-2 @ 5.18% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 5.17% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 2.64% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.69% Total : 19.18% |
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