SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Zurich win with a probability of 55.12%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for FC Winterthur had a probability of 21.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Zurich win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.85%) and 0-2 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.82%), while for a FC Winterthur win it was 1-0 (5.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| FC Winterthur | Draw | FC Zurich |
21.95% ( 0.03) | 22.93% ( 0.02) | 55.12% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 54.85% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.01% ( -0.07) | 44.99% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.66% ( -0.06) | 67.34% ( 0.07) |
| FC Winterthur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.45% ( -0.01) | 34.56% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.73% ( -0.01) | 71.28% ( 0.02) |
| FC Zurich Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.8% ( -0.04) | 16.2% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.32% ( -0.07) | 45.68% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Winterthur | Draw | FC Zurich |
| 1-0 @ 5.95% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 5.75% ( 0)2-0 @ 3.16% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.04% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.85% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.12% ( 0)Other @ 2.09% Total : 21.95% | 1-1 @ 10.82% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.6% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.24% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.92% | 0-1 @ 10.18% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.85% ( -0)0-2 @ 9.27% ( 0)1-3 @ 5.98% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 5.63% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.18% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 2.72% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 2.56% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.45% ( -0.01)1-5 @ 0.99% ( -0)0-5 @ 0.93% ( -0)Other @ 2.37% Total : 55.11% |
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