SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Zurich win with a probability of 42.35%. A win for FC Winterthur had a probability of 33.12% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Zurich win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.43%) and 0-2 (6.6%). The likeliest FC Winterthur win was 2-1 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Zurich would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Winterthur | Draw | FC Zurich |
33.12% ( 0.1) | 24.53% ( 0.03) | 42.35% ( -0.14) |
| Both teams to score 58.69% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.86% ( -0.12) | 44.14% ( 0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.48% ( -0.12) | 66.52% ( 0.11) |
| FC Winterthur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.23% ( 0.01) | 25.76% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.29% ( 0.01) | 60.7% ( -0.01) |
| FC Zurich Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.06% ( -0.11) | 20.94% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.33% ( -0.18) | 53.67% ( 0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Winterthur | Draw | FC Zurich |
| 2-1 @ 7.76% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 7.32% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 4.96% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 3.51% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.74% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.24% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.19% ( 0)4-2 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.48% Total : 33.12% | 1-1 @ 11.43% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.07% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 5.39% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.52% | 1-2 @ 8.94% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 8.43% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 6.6% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 4.66% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 3.44% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 3.16% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.82% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.34% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.24% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.71% Total : 42.35% |
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